Сергей Куренков: На востоке после открытия гигафабрики электриков днем с огнем не найдешь
2027 год будет хуже 2026-го. Во-первых, открываются новые направления, сохраняется тенденция отдохнуть на Западе, в теплых странах — тот же самый Египет, Вьетнам, Турция и так далее. В 2025 году у зарубежных направлений было +10 % турпотока по сравнению с 2024 годом. В 2026 году это будет еще плюс сколько-то процентов. А людей у нас больше не становится, то есть это будет переток туристов на другие направления.
Во-вторых, демографическая яма, в которой мы сейчас находимся. Пик ее придется на 2027–2028 годы, когда молодых людей будет еще меньше. Усугубится проблема с трудовыми ресурсами. А это что значит? Если людей не хватает, их труд будет стоить дороже, соответственно, еще больше вырастет фонд заработной платы.
Кроме того, если будет реализован этот мегапроект «Белая Дюна», я думаю, это будет какой-то полугосударственный проект, и он сможет привлечь кадры и за более серьезные деньги. Как сейчас на востоке области после открытия гигафабрики электриков днем с огнем не найдешь. Даже у нас из «Орехового сада» некоторые туда ушли работать. И такая же история возникнет здесь: на автобусах будут возить людей, их труд будет стоить дороже.
Мы, к сожалению, не сможем себе позволить такие затраты для своих отелей, да. Что с нами будет? Мы говорим уже о том, что при строительстве новых отелей нужно открывать общежития и завозить сотрудников из моногородов, где есть проблемы с трудоустройством. Так уже делают крупные российские отельные сети — завозят вахтовиков. Мы им предоставляем место для проживания, питания и т. д.
* Мнение высказано председателем Ассоциации рестораторов и отельеров Зеленоградска, владельцем сети отелей «Элиза» в интервью «Новому Калининграду».
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Новости по этой теме
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