Григорий Трофимчук: Калининградские кандидаты от разных партий не улавливают геополитические настроения
Кампания в Госдуму в Калининградской области проходит достаточно спокойно, несмотря на то, что в самом регионе есть некое напряжение, связанное с общеполитической, даже военно-политической ситуацией, которая складывается вокруг. В частности, саммит НАТО в Варшаве показал, что внимательно следит за областью не только Россия, но и страны Запада.
Как наблюдатель и эксперт я вижу, что калининградские кандидаты от разных партий не улавливают эти геополитические настроения и никак не комментируют ситуацию, которая сформировалась вокруг области. Это плохой знак, поскольку на этой теме не только можно было сыграть и привлечь голоса, не запугивая избирателей, а наоборот, подчеркивая, что люди будут властями защищены, чтобы не происходило в геополитической сфере, но и уже начать выстраивать некий буфер защиты региона в будущем. Только никто из будущих парламентариев здесь каких-то особых программ, связанных с этой темой не представил. Это наводит на определенные рассуждения и возникают определенные вопросы. Как могут кандидаты в депутаты Госдумы от Калининградской области не думать о безопасности в нынешних условиях?
По моему мнению, результат этой избирательной кампании в Госдуму в Калининградской области уже можно спокойно спрогнозировать. Здесь никакой интриги ожидать не стоит. «Единая Россия» держит этот регион под особым контролем, как и большинство регионов нашей страны. Очевидно, что партия большинства здесь свои позиции сдавать не собирается. Кроме того, на пользу правящей партии и тот факт, что сейчас в стране и регионе сформировался запрос на стабильность.
Конечно, и оппозиция кое-что пытается показать, но в трех партиях парламентской оппозиции – КПРФ, ЛДПР и «Справедливой России» кандидаты, идущие по спискам и округам в Калининградской области, – фигуры для местных не яркие. Самая известная возглавила список компартии – это Владимир Комоедов, а кандидаты – это скорее люди, которые «застолбили» за собой партийный бренд и выдающегося результата не добьются.
Помимо основной парламентской четверки, еще две внепарламентские партии претендуют на частичное вхождение, пусть и по одномандатным округам, в Госдуму. Это «Партия Роста» и «Родина». Они пытаются каким-то образом проявит активность и в Калининградской области, пусть и в меньшей степени, чем в других регионах из-за нехватки ресурсов.
Конечно, «механически» калининградские избиратели ни за кого голосовать не будут, но консервативный вектор или тренд, который установился в регионе, стремление к безопасности у жителей, будет способствовать тому, чтобы в регионе лидировала «Единая Россия».
*мнение вице-президента Центра моделирования стратегического развития приводит портал "Региональные комментарии"
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Новости по этой теме
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