Владимир Щербаков: Мы не сохраним работоспособность и инвестиции при предлагаемой методике дифференциации промсубсидий
Мы взяли обязательство освоить за 7 лет около 80 новых моделей и снизить объемы SKD до 35 тыс. в год, плюс локализация определенных автокомпонентов. Прямые инвестиции планируются в сумме не менее 20 млрд руб. Мы считали программу напряженной, но осуществимой. Взамен правительство обещало единственную льготу — не менять правила игры, не менять условия реализации инвестпроекта и не увеличивать налоговую нагрузку (за исключением возможного роста НДС).
Теперь, когда мы изучили свои возможности с учетом предлагаемой методики дифференциации промсубсидий, то пришли к выводу, что не сможем сохранить работоспособность и тем более инвестировать. Следовательно, не можем выполнить принятые по СПИК обязательства. Получается, что, если эти правила вступят в силу, мы вынуждены будем выйти из СПИК и прекратить производство. Наши партнеры по производству ясно дали понять, что прямой импорт станет выгоднее производства в Калининграде. Из 40 моделей по расчетам только 4 пока еще остаются экономическими целесообразными, всё остальное дешевле везти в Россию по прямому импорту.
Самые дорогие. Одна — от Hyundai, еще одна — Kia, и две — BMW. Общий выпуск по сегодняшнему прогнозу — примерно 15 тыс. штук в год. В реальности такой объем производства на мощностях, построенных под 250 тыс. в год, будет просто экономически нецелесообразен. Поэтому, если и как только правила будут приняты, мы должны сами отказаться от получения этой субсидии и почти сразу, в течение 3–4 месяцев, на которые уже будут закреплены комплектующие, остановить производство. Это не угроза, а простая констатация. Дело в том, что в СПИК предусмотрена при невыполнении нами обязательств наша обязанность вернуть субсидии в полном объеме. То есть, мало того, что мы неизбежно остановимся, но если получим субсидию и «продлим период умирания», то еще и обанкротимся.
А так, стоят же законсервированные заводы GM и Ford, ТаГАЗ, в Липецкой области — «Ирито». Может быть, когда-нибудь их купят. Будет стоять законсервированным еще один завод в Калининграде. Для области это, конечно, тяжелая ситуация, потому что мы загружаем на 80 % два порта, обеспечиваем 50 % вагонооборота. Нам поставляют продукцию более 250 малых и средних предприятий, в целом более чем на 8 млрд руб. в год. А 4 тыс. наших сотрудников обеспечивают больше 50 % всех налогов и сборов, собираемых на территории области.
* Мнение высказано основателем холдинга «Автотор» в интервью изданию «КоммерсантЪ».
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Новости по этой теме
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