Эксперты: Прямые потери экономики РФ из-за вступления в ВТО составят 4 трлн руб. к 2020 году

{"ID":"475809","~ID":"475809","TAGS":"ВТО, экономика, ТПП РФ, кризис","~TAGS":"ВТО, экономика, ТПП РФ, кризис","NAME":"Эксперты: Прямые потери экономики РФ из-за вступления в ВТО составят 4 трлн руб. к 2020 году","~NAME":"Эксперты: Прямые потери экономики РФ из-за вступления в ВТО составят 4 трлн руб. к 2020 году","IBLOCK_ID":"54","~IBLOCK_ID":"54","IBLOCK_SECTION_ID":"829","~IBLOCK_SECTION_ID":"829","DETAIL_TEXT":"\u003Cp\u003EПрямые потери экономики РФ из-за вступления во Всемирную торговую организацию составят 4 трлн руб. к 2020 году. К такому выводу пришли эксперты в ходе конференции \u0026quot;Вступление в ВТО: кто компенсирует потери?\u0026quot;, прошедшей в Торгово-промышленной палате РФ, сообщается в пресс-релизе организации.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nИнтересы реального сектора экономики при присоединении России к ВТО были не просто не учтены, а грубо нарушены, убеждены участники конференции. В течение 18 лет правительство вело переговоры в закрытом режиме, а консультации Минэкономразвития с промышленниками носили исключительно информативный характер. В результате вступление страны в организацию на существующих условиях станет губительным. По подсчетам независимых экспертов, ущерб для экономики будет составлять порядка 1,5 трлн руб. ежегодно, а может быть, и гораздо больше, передает мнение участников \u003Ca href=\u0022http:\/\/www.rbc.ru\/rbcfreenews\/20120301140924.shtml\u0022 \u003EРБК\u003C\/a\u003E. \r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nПо словам председателя оргкомитета конференции, президента ассоциации \u0026quot;Росагромаш\u0026quot; Константина Бабкина, государство не сможет реализовать свои обещания, поскольку введение защитных мер противоречит правилам ВТО. Поэтому прямые потери консолидированного бюджета от снижения импортных и экспортных пошлин, которые составят 430 млрд руб. (или три годовых аграрных бюджета страны), неизбежны.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nПо словам экс-депутата Государственной думы Вадима Варшавского, если бы РФ не вступила в ВТО, то, согласно национальной программе по поддержке и развитию сельского хозяйства, уже через 10 лет российские производители свинины могли бы обеспечить 95% внутреннего потребления. Теперь же окупаемость фабрик и заводов по переработке сельхозпродукции резко снизится. Те заводы, которые не прошли этап модернизации (а их больше половины), перестанут быть рентабельными и закроются, из-за чего десятки тысяч людей окажутся без работы.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nКроме того, рыбное хозяйство страны столкнется с небывалой конкуренцией. По словам президента Ассоциации добытчиков минтая Германа Зверева, от снижения импортных пошлин на рыбу с 10% до 3% потребитель не почувствует разницы. Цены сохранятся на прежнем уровне, поскольку трейдеры, которые даже сегодня продают рыбу по завышенной цене, не собираются их снижать. Зато газ и бензин подорожают до мирового уровня. По оценкам первого заместителя генерального директора Института проблем естественных монополий Булата Нигматулина, бензин будет стоить не 29 руб., а 1,8 долл.\/литр. Россия приблизится к ценам, которые установились в Европе, экспортирующей отечественные энергоносители.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nПо оценкам экспертов, россияне почувствуют снижение цен лишь через 7-10 лет. Но за это время из-за прямых потерь всех отраслей экономики, которые в 2020 году составят 4 трлн руб. (в ценах 2012 года), более 2,2 млн россиян будут вынуждены сменить работу. По другим оценкам, безработными окажутся порядка 8 млн человек.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nПрезидент Института проблем глобализации Михаил Делягин в своем докладе подчеркнул, что из-за вхождения России в ВТО страна рискует повторить системный кризис, разразившейся в Киргизии. Несмотря на то, что цены на нефть остаются на достаточно высоком уровне, экономический рост оставляет желать лучшего, а инвестиционная привлекательность сходит на нет. По его словам, уже сегодня большинство российских компаний предпочитают выводить средства за рубеж. Все это приведет, убежден эксперт, к системному кризису, в условиях которого резко повысятся шансы на успех \u0026quot;цветной революции\u0026quot;.\u003C\/p\u003E","~DETAIL_TEXT":"\u003Cp\u003EПрямые потери экономики РФ из-за вступления во Всемирную торговую организацию составят 4 трлн руб. к 2020 году. К такому выводу пришли эксперты в ходе конференции \u0026quot;Вступление в ВТО: кто компенсирует потери?\u0026quot;, прошедшей в Торгово-промышленной палате РФ, сообщается в пресс-релизе организации.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nИнтересы реального сектора экономики при присоединении России к ВТО были не просто не учтены, а грубо нарушены, убеждены участники конференции. В течение 18 лет правительство вело переговоры в закрытом режиме, а консультации Минэкономразвития с промышленниками носили исключительно информативный характер. В результате вступление страны в организацию на существующих условиях станет губительным. По подсчетам независимых экспертов, ущерб для экономики будет составлять порядка 1,5 трлн руб. ежегодно, а может быть, и гораздо больше, передает мнение участников \u003Ca href=\u0022http:\/\/www.rbc.ru\/rbcfreenews\/20120301140924.shtml\u0022 \u003EРБК\u003C\/a\u003E. \r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nПо словам председателя оргкомитета конференции, президента ассоциации \u0026quot;Росагромаш\u0026quot; Константина Бабкина, государство не сможет реализовать свои обещания, поскольку введение защитных мер противоречит правилам ВТО. Поэтому прямые потери консолидированного бюджета от снижения импортных и экспортных пошлин, которые составят 430 млрд руб. (или три годовых аграрных бюджета страны), неизбежны.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nПо словам экс-депутата Государственной думы Вадима Варшавского, если бы РФ не вступила в ВТО, то, согласно национальной программе по поддержке и развитию сельского хозяйства, уже через 10 лет российские производители свинины могли бы обеспечить 95% внутреннего потребления. Теперь же окупаемость фабрик и заводов по переработке сельхозпродукции резко снизится. Те заводы, которые не прошли этап модернизации (а их больше половины), перестанут быть рентабельными и закроются, из-за чего десятки тысяч людей окажутся без работы.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nКроме того, рыбное хозяйство страны столкнется с небывалой конкуренцией. По словам президента Ассоциации добытчиков минтая Германа Зверева, от снижения импортных пошлин на рыбу с 10% до 3% потребитель не почувствует разницы. Цены сохранятся на прежнем уровне, поскольку трейдеры, которые даже сегодня продают рыбу по завышенной цене, не собираются их снижать. Зато газ и бензин подорожают до мирового уровня. По оценкам первого заместителя генерального директора Института проблем естественных монополий Булата Нигматулина, бензин будет стоить не 29 руб., а 1,8 долл.\/литр. Россия приблизится к ценам, которые установились в Европе, экспортирующей отечественные энергоносители.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nПо оценкам экспертов, россияне почувствуют снижение цен лишь через 7-10 лет. Но за это время из-за прямых потерь всех отраслей экономики, которые в 2020 году составят 4 трлн руб. (в ценах 2012 года), более 2,2 млн россиян будут вынуждены сменить работу. 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Все это приведет, убежден эксперт, к системному кризису, в условиях которого резко повысятся шансы на успех \u0026quot;цветной революции\u0026quot;.\u003C\/p\u003E","DETAIL_TEXT_TYPE":"html","~DETAIL_TEXT_TYPE":"html","PREVIEW_TEXT":"Аналитики опасаются, что в нестабильных экономических условиях вхождение в ВТО приведет к системному кризису.","~PREVIEW_TEXT":"Аналитики опасаются, что в нестабильных экономических условиях вхождение в ВТО приведет к системному кризису.","PREVIEW_TEXT_TYPE":"text","~PREVIEW_TEXT_TYPE":"text","DETAIL_PICTURE":{"ID":"243451","TIMESTAMP_X":"30.01.2015 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