Дмитрию Медведеву прогнозируют отставку весной 2013 года

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{"ID":"561138","~ID":"561138","TAGS":"дмитрий медведев, отставка, прогноз, институт проблем глобализации","~TAGS":"дмитрий медведев, отставка, прогноз, институт проблем глобализации","NAME":"Дмитрию Медведеву прогнозируют отставку весной 2013 года","~NAME":"Дмитрию Медведеву прогнозируют отставку весной 2013 года","IBLOCK_ID":"54","~IBLOCK_ID":"54","IBLOCK_SECTION_ID":"828","~IBLOCK_SECTION_ID":"828","DETAIL_TEXT":"\r\n\u003Cp\u003EИнститут проблем глобализации Михаила Делягина подготовил политический прогноз развития России на следующий год. В докладе \u0026laquo;2013 год: оттеснение либерального клана\u0026raquo; эксперты приходят к выводу, что правительству Дмитрия Медведева в нынешнем составе осталось работать всего несколько месяцев, пишут сегодня \u003Ca href=\u0022http:\/\/izvestia.ru\/news\/541034\u0022 \u003E\u0026laquo;Известия\u0026raquo;\u003C\/a\u003E. \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003E \u0026laquo;Обострение межклановой войны, легализованное в качестве борьбы с коррупцией, уже приобрело характер, масштабы и непредсказуемость, опасные для правящего класса в целом\u0026raquo;, \u0026mdash; говорится в тексте доклада. \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003E Уже после Нового года конфликт между кланами будет медленно сходить на нет, ожидают авторы. Но окружение нынешнего премьера выйдет из него ослабленным, что \u0026laquo;лишит Медведева и либеральный клан возможностей самозащиты, а значит, с высокой степенью вероятности приведет к отставке правительства в марте-апреле\u0026raquo;. \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003E Дополнительным фактором, ускоряющим отставку Медведева, эксперты считают скандал вокруг бывшего министра сельского хозяйства Елены Скрынник, потому что она якобы близка действующему премьеру и \u0026laquo;именно ее история имеет наибольшую судебно-политическую перспективу\u0026raquo;. \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003E В документе говорится, что из находящихся сегодня \u0026laquo;на поверхности\u0026raquo; политиков наиболее актуальным кандидатом на пост премьера выглядит Дмитрий Рогозин, хотя ситуация может еще неоднократно измениться, полагает Делягин. \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003E Глава Фонда эффективной политики Глеб Павловский, ранее консультировавший администрацию президента, убежден, что отставка действительно состоится. \u0026laquo;Скорее всего, так и будет. Кремль не скрывает, что этого хотел бы. Вопрос в выборе удобной ситуации и еще в том, что Владимир Путин сможет предложить Медведеву взамен\u0026raquo;, \u0026mdash; говорит он. \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003E \u0026laquo;Я не предвижу столь скорой отставки. Только очень серьезные события могут спровоцировать президента на то, что ему надо будет снимать и менять правительство. Думаю, что он прибережет эту крайнюю меру для чего-то более существенного\u0026raquo;, \u0026mdash; напротив, уверен глава Института современного развития Игорь Юргенс. Эксперт полагает, что российские финансовые резервы пока достаточно велики, а нефть торгуется на уровне $100\u0026ndash;110 за баррель. По его словам, это весомый аргумент, чтобы часть проблем в стране можно было решать менее радикальными способами. \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003E С ним согласен гендиректор Центра политической информации Алексей Мухин. \u0026laquo;Исходя из кадровой логики президента Путина, можно предположить, что только экстраординарное событие может спровоцировать отставку кабинета. Могут ротироваться некоторые члены правительства, но это не будет сменой целого правительства. Дмитрий Медведев в отставку не уйдет. Для такого решения нужен ряд предпосылок и системных ошибок: неисполнение обязанностей министрами, серьезный просчет в социальной сфере, здравоохранении. А пока таких просчетов нет, странно прогнозировать отставку, \u0026mdash; уверен Мухин. \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003E Пресс-секретарь главы правительства Наталья Тимакова в свою очередь заявила \u0026laquo;Известиям\u0026raquo;, что \u0026laquo;предсказания об отставке правительства лучше удаются умершей предсказательнице Ванге, а не экспертам\u0026raquo;. \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003E Как напоминает издание, Дмитрия Медведева пытаются отправить в отставку с момента утверждения Госдумой на должность премьера в мае 2012 года. Многие эксперты тогда были убеждены, что глава кабинета министров не продержится в своем кресле и полугода. Следующая волна, направленная против главы правительства, поднялась летом, тогда премьеру прочили отставку осенью. И, наконец, третья волна началась в конце ноября.\u003C\/p\u003E\r\n","~DETAIL_TEXT":"\r\n\u003Cp\u003EИнститут проблем глобализации Михаила Делягина подготовил политический прогноз развития России на следующий год. В докладе \u0026laquo;2013 год: оттеснение либерального клана\u0026raquo; эксперты приходят к выводу, что правительству Дмитрия Медведева в нынешнем составе осталось работать всего несколько месяцев, пишут сегодня \u003Ca href=\u0022http:\/\/izvestia.ru\/news\/541034\u0022 \u003E\u0026laquo;Известия\u0026raquo;\u003C\/a\u003E. \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003E \u0026laquo;Обострение межклановой войны, легализованное в качестве борьбы с коррупцией, уже приобрело характер, масштабы и непредсказуемость, опасные для правящего класса в целом\u0026raquo;, \u0026mdash; говорится в тексте доклада. \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003E Уже после Нового года конфликт между кланами будет медленно сходить на нет, ожидают авторы. Но окружение нынешнего премьера выйдет из него ослабленным, что \u0026laquo;лишит Медведева и либеральный клан возможностей самозащиты, а значит, с высокой степенью вероятности приведет к отставке правительства в марте-апреле\u0026raquo;. \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003E Дополнительным фактором, ускоряющим отставку Медведева, эксперты считают скандал вокруг бывшего министра сельского хозяйства Елены Скрынник, потому что она якобы близка действующему премьеру и \u0026laquo;именно ее история имеет наибольшую судебно-политическую перспективу\u0026raquo;. \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003E В документе говорится, что из находящихся сегодня \u0026laquo;на поверхности\u0026raquo; политиков наиболее актуальным кандидатом на пост премьера выглядит Дмитрий Рогозин, хотя ситуация может еще неоднократно измениться, полагает Делягин. \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003E Глава Фонда эффективной политики Глеб Павловский, ранее консультировавший администрацию президента, убежден, что отставка действительно состоится. \u0026laquo;Скорее всего, так и будет. Кремль не скрывает, что этого хотел бы. Вопрос в выборе удобной ситуации и еще в том, что Владимир Путин сможет предложить Медведеву взамен\u0026raquo;, \u0026mdash; говорит он. \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003E \u0026laquo;Я не предвижу столь скорой отставки. Только очень серьезные события могут спровоцировать президента на то, что ему надо будет снимать и менять правительство. Думаю, что он прибережет эту крайнюю меру для чего-то более существенного\u0026raquo;, \u0026mdash; напротив, уверен глава Института современного развития Игорь Юргенс. Эксперт полагает, что российские финансовые резервы пока достаточно велики, а нефть торгуется на уровне $100\u0026ndash;110 за баррель. По его словам, это весомый аргумент, чтобы часть проблем в стране можно было решать менее радикальными способами. \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003E С ним согласен гендиректор Центра политической информации Алексей Мухин. \u0026laquo;Исходя из кадровой логики президента Путина, можно предположить, что только экстраординарное событие может спровоцировать отставку кабинета. Могут ротироваться некоторые члены правительства, но это не будет сменой целого правительства. Дмитрий Медведев в отставку не уйдет. Для такого решения нужен ряд предпосылок и системных ошибок: неисполнение обязанностей министрами, серьезный просчет в социальной сфере, здравоохранении. 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И, наконец, третья волна началась в конце ноября.\u003C\/p\u003E\r\n","DETAIL_TEXT_TYPE":"html","~DETAIL_TEXT_TYPE":"html","PREVIEW_TEXT":"Наиболее вероятным следующим премьером является Дмитрий Рогозин, считают эксперты Института проблем глобализации.","~PREVIEW_TEXT":"Наиболее вероятным следующим премьером является Дмитрий Рогозин, считают эксперты Института проблем глобализации.","PREVIEW_TEXT_TYPE":"text","~PREVIEW_TEXT_TYPE":"text","DETAIL_PICTURE":{"ID":"291203","TIMESTAMP_X":"31.01.2015 13:28:01","MODULE_ID":"iblock","HEIGHT":"150","WIDTH":"200","FILE_SIZE":"18503","CONTENT_TYPE":"image\/jpeg","SUBDIR":"iblock\/ffb\/ffb70213019b4ec9f603022c4f7e8038","FILE_NAME":"a039e267bf857d4ac0bb42a147b5b33e.jpg","ORIGINAL_NAME":"picture.jpg","DESCRIPTION":"","HANDLER_ID":null,"EXTERNAL_ID":null,"VERSION_ORIGINAL_ID":null,"META":"","SRC":"\/upload\/iblock\/ffb\/ffb70213019b4ec9f603022c4f7e8038\/a039e267bf857d4ac0bb42a147b5b33e.jpg"},"~DETAIL_PICTURE":"291203","ACTIVE_FROM_X":"2012-12-07 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