Эксперт: Пенсионная реформа Медведева приведет к тому, что соотношение среднего заработка и пенсии сократится почти в 1,5 раза

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{"ID":"526668","~ID":"526668","TAGS":"пенсии, правительство, реформа","~TAGS":"пенсии, правительство, реформа","NAME":"Эксперт: Пенсионная реформа Медведева приведет к тому, что соотношение среднего заработка и пенсии сократится почти в 1,5 раза","~NAME":"Эксперт: Пенсионная реформа Медведева приведет к тому, что соотношение среднего заработка и пенсии сократится почти в 1,5 раза","IBLOCK_ID":"54","~IBLOCK_ID":"54","IBLOCK_SECTION_ID":"828","~IBLOCK_SECTION_ID":"828","DETAIL_TEXT":"\u003Cp\u003EНе успело правительство Медведева отпраздновать свои 100 дней, а отдельные эксперты уже пророчат его падение. Главным образом на эти мысли их наводит намерение правительства провести радикальную пенсионную реформу. Глава \u0026laquo;Центра стратегических разработок\u0026raquo; Михаил Дмитриев считает, что если пенсионная реформа будет реализована в предлагаемом командой премьер-министра Дмитрия Медведева радикальном виде, правительству придется уйти в отставку в течение года. По оценкам эксперта, из нынешних предложений правительства, хоть они и пока сформулированы довольно расплывчато, можно сделать некоторые выводы. В частности, опубликованная правительством концепция развития пенсионной системы до 2030 года подразумевает снижение пенсий до 20-25% от заработка перед выходом на пенсию. Сейчас этот показатель находится на уровне 36,8%, а международная организация труда рекомендует 40%. Соответствующие оценки экономиста приводит портал \u003Ca href=\u0022http:\/\/slon.ru\/economics\/pravitelstvu_ostalsya_god-826704.xhtml\u0022 \u003ESlon.ru\u003C\/a\u003E. \r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\u0026laquo;Если же будет принято совсем радикальное решение, наподобие того, что предлагалось Минтрудом в июле, \u0026ndash; оно сводится к демонтажу существующей пенсионной системы и возврату к схеме начала 90-х годов \u0026ndash; мы начнем готовить стратегию восстановления многоуровневой пенсионной системы для нового правительства. Сегодняшнее правительство не сможет пережить такое решение \u0026ndash; оно будет сравнимо по своему эффекту с монетизацией льгот, которая вызвала массовые протесты и падение уровня поддержки действующей власти до 20%\u0026raquo;, - отмечает Михаил Дмитриев. \r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nПо мнению экономиста, радикальные социальные реформы начнут раскалывать элиту. \u0026laquo;Раскол пока не оформился в принципиальное противостояние, значительная часть политической и бизнес-элиты сохраняет лояльность к Путину как к лидеру, но правительство уже раскололось на два лагеря по вопросу пенсионной реформы, и это очень показательно, потому что многие инициативы властей приводят к такому противостоянию\u0026raquo;, - отмечает эксперт.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nСтоит отметить, что в рамках сложившейся в России на сегодняшний день пенсионной системы калининградские плательщики в Пенсионный фонд \u003Ca href=\u0022http:\/\/rugrad.eu\/news\/475740\/\u0022 \u003Eобеспечивают\u003C\/a\u003E всего 65% средств, необходимых для выплаты трудовых пенсий жителям Калининградской области. Остальные средства перечисляются в регион в качестве трансферта из федерального Пенсионного фонда, то есть за счет \u0026laquo;излишков\u0026raquo;, которые федеральный фонд собирает с регионов-доноров. Калининградская область является регионом-рецепиентом сравнительно недолго, ранее она являлась донором, то есть собирала больше взносов в Пенсионный фонд, чем необходимо для выплаты пенсий жителям, проживающим в области. \r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nНегативная динамика связана с тем, что ряд крупных предприятий обанкротились, а часть перерегистрировались в Санкт-Петербурге и Москве. \r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nВсего в 2011 году из федерального фонда в региональный в качестве \u0026laquo;вспомогательного\u0026raquo; трансферта было перечислено 9,35 млрд руб. Суммарная потребность региона в средствах на выплату трудовых пенсий по итогам 2011 года составила 26,7 млрд руб.\u003C\/p\u003E","~DETAIL_TEXT":"\u003Cp\u003EНе успело правительство Медведева отпраздновать свои 100 дней, а отдельные эксперты уже пророчат его падение. Главным образом на эти мысли их наводит намерение правительства провести радикальную пенсионную реформу. Глава \u0026laquo;Центра стратегических разработок\u0026raquo; Михаил Дмитриев считает, что если пенсионная реформа будет реализована в предлагаемом командой премьер-министра Дмитрия Медведева радикальном виде, правительству придется уйти в отставку в течение года. По оценкам эксперта, из нынешних предложений правительства, хоть они и пока сформулированы довольно расплывчато, можно сделать некоторые выводы. В частности, опубликованная правительством концепция развития пенсионной системы до 2030 года подразумевает снижение пенсий до 20-25% от заработка перед выходом на пенсию. Сейчас этот показатель находится на уровне 36,8%, а международная организация труда рекомендует 40%. Соответствующие оценки экономиста приводит портал \u003Ca href=\u0022http:\/\/slon.ru\/economics\/pravitelstvu_ostalsya_god-826704.xhtml\u0022 \u003ESlon.ru\u003C\/a\u003E. \r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\u0026laquo;Если же будет принято совсем радикальное решение, наподобие того, что предлагалось Минтрудом в июле, \u0026ndash; оно сводится к демонтажу существующей пенсионной системы и возврату к схеме начала 90-х годов \u0026ndash; мы начнем готовить стратегию восстановления многоуровневой пенсионной системы для нового правительства. Сегодняшнее правительство не сможет пережить такое решение \u0026ndash; оно будет сравнимо по своему эффекту с монетизацией льгот, которая вызвала массовые протесты и падение уровня поддержки действующей власти до 20%\u0026raquo;, - отмечает Михаил Дмитриев. \r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nПо мнению экономиста, радикальные социальные реформы начнут раскалывать элиту. \u0026laquo;Раскол пока не оформился в принципиальное противостояние, значительная часть политической и бизнес-элиты сохраняет лояльность к Путину как к лидеру, но правительство уже раскололось на два лагеря по вопросу пенсионной реформы, и это очень показательно, потому что многие инициативы властей приводят к такому противостоянию\u0026raquo;, - отмечает эксперт.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nСтоит отметить, что в рамках сложившейся в России на сегодняшний день пенсионной системы калининградские плательщики в Пенсионный фонд \u003Ca href=\u0022http:\/\/rugrad.eu\/news\/475740\/\u0022 \u003Eобеспечивают\u003C\/a\u003E всего 65% средств, необходимых для выплаты трудовых пенсий жителям Калининградской области. 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