Moody’s ухудшило прогноз развития банковской системы РФ до «негативного»

{"ID":"450640","~ID":"450640","TAGS":"","~TAGS":"","NAME":"Moody’s ухудшило прогноз развития банковской системы РФ до «негативного»","~NAME":"Moody’s ухудшило прогноз развития банковской системы РФ до «негативного»","IBLOCK_ID":"54","~IBLOCK_ID":"54","IBLOCK_SECTION_ID":"4067","~IBLOCK_SECTION_ID":"4067","DETAIL_TEXT":"\u003Cp\u003EМеждународное рейтинговое агентство Moody\u0026rsquo;s ухудшило прогноз развития российской банковской системы до \u0026laquo;негативного\u0026raquo; со \u0026laquo;стабильного\u0026raquo;, передает \u0026laquo;Прайм\u0026raquo; со ссылкой на сообщение агентства.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\u0026laquo;Изменение прогноза для российской банковской системы на \u0026laquo;негативный\u0026raquo; отражает обеспокоенность, что глобальные экономические условия и волатильность финансовых рынков ослабят операционную среду в России, оказывая негативное влияние на банки через общесистемное снижение ликвидности, замедление роста кредитования и давление на качество активов\u0026raquo;, \u0026mdash; говорится в сообщении.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\u0026laquo;Негативный\u0026raquo; прогноз означает, что этих изменений Moody\u0026rsquo;s ожидает в течение следующих 12\u0026mdash;18 месяцев.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nПо прогнозу Moody\u0026rsquo;s, на фоне слабого восстановления мировой экономики реальный прирост ВВП РФ в 2012 году замедлится до 2,8% с 3,8% в 2011-м. В свете сильной зависимости экономики РФ от цен на нефть риски снижения спроса на энергоресурсы в мире могут в дальнейшем влиять и на операционную среду для банков России.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nПо мнению вице-президента Moody\u0026rsquo;s Евгения Тарзиманова, финансовая нестабильность мировых рынков, ограниченный доступ к финансированию, продолжающийся отток капитала и давление на рубль в настоящее время уже негативно влияют на ситуацию с ликвидностью в банковской системе России.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nНа фоне продолжения этих тенденций эксперт прогнозирует медленный рост кредитования и снижение доступа к кредитам для заемщиков, а также увеличение процентных ставок. Замедление экономического роста станет причиной увеличения объема банковских резервов по возможным потерям.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nЭксперты ожидают, что государство продолжит оказывать поддержку банковской системе, однако не уверены, что господдержка будет доступна для средних и небольших частных банков.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nАгентство прогнозирует, что объем резервов от потерь по кредитам к концу 2012 года увеличится примерно до 12% от общего объема кредитов с 9,6% на середину 2011-го. В совокупности со снижением на 16% в связи с переоценкой стоимости ценных бумаг это приведет к сокращению достаточности капитала до 14% на конец 2012 года. Этот уровень все еще можно считать комфортным, как и 16,7% в середине 2011-го.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nЭксперты агентства также отмечают слабый уровень доверия вкладчиков к российской банковской системе, что может представлять угрозу для ликвидности банков в случае потрясений на рынке.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nУхудшение долговой ситуации в еврозоне также может негативно отразиться на банковской системе РФ, приведя к снижению показателя достаточности капитала системы ниже нормативного минимума в 10%.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nMoody\u0026rsquo;s в то же время считает, что показатели рентабельности крупнейших банков РФ останутся сильными: доходы будет по-прежнему обеспечивать надежную защиту от потерь по кредитам.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\u0026laquo;Несмотря на \u0026laquo;негативный\u0026raquo; прогноз по банковской системе России, перспективы 91% рейтингуемых агентством Moody\u0026rsquo;s банков России стабильны\u0026raquo;, \u0026mdash; отмечается в сообщении.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nИсточник: \u003Ca href=\u0022http:\/\/www.banki.ru\/\u0022 target=\u0022_blank\u0022 \u003Ehttp:\/\/www.banki.ru\/\u003C\/a\u003E\u003C\/p\u003E","~DETAIL_TEXT":"\u003Cp\u003EМеждународное рейтинговое агентство Moody\u0026rsquo;s ухудшило прогноз развития российской банковской системы до \u0026laquo;негативного\u0026raquo; со \u0026laquo;стабильного\u0026raquo;, передает \u0026laquo;Прайм\u0026raquo; со ссылкой на сообщение агентства.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\u0026laquo;Изменение прогноза для российской банковской системы на \u0026laquo;негативный\u0026raquo; отражает обеспокоенность, что глобальные экономические условия и волатильность финансовых рынков ослабят операционную среду в России, оказывая негативное влияние на банки через общесистемное снижение ликвидности, замедление роста кредитования и давление на качество активов\u0026raquo;, \u0026mdash; говорится в сообщении.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\u0026laquo;Негативный\u0026raquo; прогноз означает, что этих изменений Moody\u0026rsquo;s ожидает в течение следующих 12\u0026mdash;18 месяцев.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nПо прогнозу Moody\u0026rsquo;s, на фоне слабого восстановления мировой экономики реальный прирост ВВП РФ в 2012 году замедлится до 2,8% с 3,8% в 2011-м. В свете сильной зависимости экономики РФ от цен на нефть риски снижения спроса на энергоресурсы в мире могут в дальнейшем влиять и на операционную среду для банков России.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nПо мнению вице-президента Moody\u0026rsquo;s Евгения Тарзиманова, финансовая нестабильность мировых рынков, ограниченный доступ к финансированию, продолжающийся отток капитала и давление на рубль в настоящее время уже негативно влияют на ситуацию с ликвидностью в банковской системе России.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nНа фоне продолжения этих тенденций эксперт прогнозирует медленный рост кредитования и снижение доступа к кредитам для заемщиков, а также увеличение процентных ставок. Замедление экономического роста станет причиной увеличения объема банковских резервов по возможным потерям.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nЭксперты ожидают, что государство продолжит оказывать поддержку банковской системе, однако не уверены, что господдержка будет доступна для средних и небольших частных банков.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nАгентство прогнозирует, что объем резервов от потерь по кредитам к концу 2012 года увеличится примерно до 12% от общего объема кредитов с 9,6% на середину 2011-го. В совокупности со снижением на 16% в связи с переоценкой стоимости ценных бумаг это приведет к сокращению достаточности капитала до 14% на конец 2012 года. Этот уровень все еще можно считать комфортным, как и 16,7% в середине 2011-го.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nЭксперты агентства также отмечают слабый уровень доверия вкладчиков к российской банковской системе, что может представлять угрозу для ликвидности банков в случае потрясений на рынке.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nУхудшение долговой ситуации в еврозоне также может негативно отразиться на банковской системе РФ, приведя к снижению показателя достаточности капитала системы ниже нормативного минимума в 10%.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nMoody\u0026rsquo;s в то же время считает, что показатели рентабельности крупнейших банков РФ останутся сильными: доходы будет по-прежнему обеспечивать надежную защиту от потерь по кредитам.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\u0026laquo;Несмотря на \u0026laquo;негативный\u0026raquo; прогноз по банковской системе России, перспективы 91% рейтингуемых агентством Moody\u0026rsquo;s банков России стабильны\u0026raquo;, \u0026mdash; отмечается в сообщении.\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\r\nИсточник: \u003Ca href=\u0022http:\/\/www.banki.ru\/\u0022 target=\u0022_blank\u0022 \u003Ehttp:\/\/www.banki.ru\/\u003C\/a\u003E\u003C\/p\u003E","DETAIL_TEXT_TYPE":"html","~DETAIL_TEXT_TYPE":"html","PREVIEW_TEXT":"","~PREVIEW_TEXT":"","PREVIEW_TEXT_TYPE":"text","~PREVIEW_TEXT_TYPE":"text","DETAIL_PICTURE":{"ID":"228191","TIMESTAMP_X":"30.01.2015 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