Все внимание на Европу

{"ID":"404233","~ID":"404233","TAGS":"","~TAGS":"","NAME":"Все внимание на Европу","~NAME":"Все внимание на Европу","IBLOCK_ID":"54","~IBLOCK_ID":"54","IBLOCK_SECTION_ID":"5170","~IBLOCK_SECTION_ID":"5170","DETAIL_TEXT":"Открывшись примерно с 2% \u0026lt;\u0026lt;гэпом вверх\u0026gt;\u0026gt; после длинных выходных, российский рынок акций начал медленно сползать вниз на фоне ухудшения настроений из-за возросших рисков обострения долгового кризиса в ряде стран ЕС. На этот раз источником опасений стали бюджетный дефицит Ирландии, обострение ситуации в Португалии и выборы в Греции. На фоне этих опасений евро достаточно быстро теряет завоеванные на прошедшей неделе позиции - за несколько последних торговых сессий европейская валюта потеряла порядка 3% по отношению к доллару, пара евро - доллар опустилась до отметки 1,39 с локального максимума прошлой недели на уровне 1,43.\r\n\u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\nСегодня, несмотря на ухудшение внешнего фона, российский рынок акций после нейтрального открытия продолжил восходящую динамику, вплотную подобравшись к ключевым уровням 1590 -1600 пунктов по индексу ММВБ. В ближайшее время, на наш взгляд, внимание инвесторов вновь переключится со Штатов на Еврозону. В конце этой недели будут опубликованы показатели ВВП за 3 квартал Еврозоны и стран, входящих в нее. \r\n\u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n11-12 ноября в Сеуле пройдет Саммит стран G-20, центральной темой которого, судя по всему, станет обсуждение валютного вопроса и монетарной политики Штатов и Еврозоны. Не исключено, что на фоне запуска QE-2 Штатами и заявлений г-на Трише, что уже в следующем месяце ЕЦБ будет решать вопрос о запуске exit strategy, вопрос о целесообразности дальнейшего стимулирования мировой экономики монетарными методами приобретет особую остроту. Еще одним событием, которое может оказать влияние на динамику котировок отдельных эмитентов на этой неделе, станет ноябрьская ребалансировка индексов MSCI (10 ноября).\r\n\u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\nСреди важной статистики (помимо данных из ЕС), публикуемой на этой неделе, стоит выделить блок данных по китайской экономике (будут опубликованы цифры по промышленному производству, розничным продажам и инфляции).\r\n\u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\nНесмотря на ухудшение настроений в начале текущей недели, мы не ожидаем увидеть полноценную коррекцию в ближайшее время. Несмотря на возросшие кредитные риски в ряде стран ЕС, идея избыточной ликвидности может удержать мировые площадки от существенной коррекции. Для российского рынка дополнительной поддержкой будут являться высокие\r\n\u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\nцены на нефть и другие сырьевые товары. Наиболее вероятный сценарий на эту неделю - консолидация вблизи достигнутых уровней. Торговый диапазон по индексу ММВ - 1540 -1590 пунктов.\r\n\u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\nДинамика во второй половине ноября и, вероятно, даже в декабре будет, на наш взгляд, определяться валютным вопросом (один из ожидаемых итогов G-20) и тем, как далее будет развиваться тема монетарного стимулирования.\r\n\u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\nОльга Митрофанова, аналитик УК \u0026lt;\u0026lt;Райффайзен Капитал\u0026gt;\u0026gt;","~DETAIL_TEXT":"Открывшись примерно с 2% \u0026lt;\u0026lt;гэпом вверх\u0026gt;\u0026gt; после длинных выходных, российский рынок акций начал медленно сползать вниз на фоне ухудшения настроений из-за возросших рисков обострения долгового кризиса в ряде стран ЕС. На этот раз источником опасений стали бюджетный дефицит Ирландии, обострение ситуации в Португалии и выборы в Греции. На фоне этих опасений евро достаточно быстро теряет завоеванные на прошедшей неделе позиции - за несколько последних торговых сессий европейская валюта потеряла порядка 3% по отношению к доллару, пара евро - доллар опустилась до отметки 1,39 с локального максимума прошлой недели на уровне 1,43.\r\n\u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\nСегодня, несмотря на ухудшение внешнего фона, российский рынок акций после нейтрального открытия продолжил восходящую динамику, вплотную подобравшись к ключевым уровням 1590 -1600 пунктов по индексу ММВБ. В ближайшее время, на наш взгляд, внимание инвесторов вновь переключится со Штатов на Еврозону. В конце этой недели будут опубликованы показатели ВВП за 3 квартал Еврозоны и стран, входящих в нее. \r\n\u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n11-12 ноября в Сеуле пройдет Саммит стран G-20, центральной темой которого, судя по всему, станет обсуждение валютного вопроса и монетарной политики Штатов и Еврозоны. Не исключено, что на фоне запуска QE-2 Штатами и заявлений г-на Трише, что уже в следующем месяце ЕЦБ будет решать вопрос о запуске exit strategy, вопрос о целесообразности дальнейшего стимулирования мировой экономики монетарными методами приобретет особую остроту. Еще одним событием, которое может оказать влияние на динамику котировок отдельных эмитентов на этой неделе, станет ноябрьская ребалансировка индексов MSCI (10 ноября).\r\n\u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\nСреди важной статистики (помимо данных из ЕС), публикуемой на этой неделе, стоит выделить блок данных по китайской экономике (будут опубликованы цифры по промышленному производству, розничным продажам и инфляции).\r\n\u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\nНесмотря на ухудшение настроений в начале текущей недели, мы не ожидаем увидеть полноценную коррекцию в ближайшее время. Несмотря на возросшие кредитные риски в ряде стран ЕС, идея избыточной ликвидности может удержать мировые площадки от существенной коррекции. Для российского рынка дополнительной поддержкой будут являться высокие\r\n\u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\nцены на нефть и другие сырьевые товары. Наиболее вероятный сценарий на эту неделю - консолидация вблизи достигнутых уровней. Торговый диапазон по индексу ММВ - 1540 -1590 пунктов.\r\n\u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\nДинамика во второй половине ноября и, вероятно, даже в декабре будет, на наш взгляд, определяться валютным вопросом (один из ожидаемых итогов G-20) и тем, как далее будет развиваться тема монетарного стимулирования.\r\n\u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\nОльга Митрофанова, аналитик УК \u0026lt;\u0026lt;Райффайзен Капитал\u0026gt;\u0026gt;","DETAIL_TEXT_TYPE":"html","~DETAIL_TEXT_TYPE":"html","PREVIEW_TEXT":"","~PREVIEW_TEXT":"","PREVIEW_TEXT_TYPE":"text","~PREVIEW_TEXT_TYPE":"text","DETAIL_PICTURE":{"ID":"189289","TIMESTAMP_X":"30.01.2015 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