Идей, поддерживающих рынок, нет
В начале этой недели российские площадки предприняли попытку к росту после пятничной коррекции, однако уже во вторник российские индексы вслед за мировыми площадками уверенно пошли вниз. Основным поводом для коррекции стали разочаровывающие итоги очередного заседания ФРС (состоялось 10 августа). Как и ожидалось, ставка была оставлена на прежнем уровне. На заседании представители ФРС признали, что восстановление американской экономики существенно замедлилось и для ее поддержки регулятор намерен сохранять ставки на рекордно низком уровне в течение длительного времени и инвестировать средства, полученные от ипотечных бумаг в долгосрочные казначейские облигации. Никаких других мер поддержки (например, возобновления политики количественного смягчения), на которые ставил рынок, озвучено не было.
Таким образом, идея дополнительного масштабного стимулирования американской экономики, которая поддерживала рынки на протяжении всей прошедшей недели, не оправдалась, что стало поводом для фиксации краткосрочной прибыли.
Кроме того, пессимизма инвесторам добавили опубликованные макроэкономические данные из Китая за июль. Зафиксированное по итогам прошедшего месяца значительное ускорение инфляции при одновременном замедлении темпов роста промышленного производства и розничных продаж вновь усилило опасения относительно перспектив роста китайской экономики.
На текущий момент на рынке преобладают скорее негативные настроения, а идей для продолжения роста нет. На наш взгляд, до конца недели, ситуация существенно не изменится. Ближайший уровень поддержки по индексу ММВБ расположен на отметке 1370 пунктов, сопротивлением остается отметка 1400 пунктов.
Конец этой недели вновь будет насыщен публикацией макроэкономической статистики из Штатов и Еврозоны. Особое внимание стоит уделить данным по торговому балансу Еврозоны, предварительному показателю ВВП Еврозоны за 2 квартал, индексу потребительского доверия Университета Мичиган (США) и данным по американскому рынку труда.
Ольга Митрофанова, аналитик УК «Райффайзен капитал»
Фото: http://economics.unian.net
Таким образом, идея дополнительного масштабного стимулирования американской экономики, которая поддерживала рынки на протяжении всей прошедшей недели, не оправдалась, что стало поводом для фиксации краткосрочной прибыли.
Кроме того, пессимизма инвесторам добавили опубликованные макроэкономические данные из Китая за июль. Зафиксированное по итогам прошедшего месяца значительное ускорение инфляции при одновременном замедлении темпов роста промышленного производства и розничных продаж вновь усилило опасения относительно перспектив роста китайской экономики.
На текущий момент на рынке преобладают скорее негативные настроения, а идей для продолжения роста нет. На наш взгляд, до конца недели, ситуация существенно не изменится. Ближайший уровень поддержки по индексу ММВБ расположен на отметке 1370 пунктов, сопротивлением остается отметка 1400 пунктов.
Конец этой недели вновь будет насыщен публикацией макроэкономической статистики из Штатов и Еврозоны. Особое внимание стоит уделить данным по торговому балансу Еврозоны, предварительному показателю ВВП Еврозоны за 2 квартал, индексу потребительского доверия Университета Мичиган (США) и данным по американскому рынку труда.
Ольга Митрофанова, аналитик УК «Райффайзен капитал»
Фото: http://economics.unian.net
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Новости по этой теме
