Хорошая корпоративная отчетность – не панацея

{"ID":"392327","~ID":"392327","TAGS":"","~TAGS":"","NAME":"Хорошая корпоративная отчетность – не панацея","~NAME":"Хорошая корпоративная отчетность – не панацея","IBLOCK_ID":"54","~IBLOCK_ID":"54","IBLOCK_SECTION_ID":"5170","~IBLOCK_SECTION_ID":"5170","DETAIL_TEXT":"\r\n\u003Cp\u003E\u003Cb\u003EКонстантин Кирпичев, начальник отдела паевых инвестиционных фондов УК \u0026laquo;Райффайзен Капитал\u0026raquo;\u003C\/b\u003E \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n \r\n\u003Cp\u003E \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n \r\n\u003Cp\u003EУходящая неделя стала неоднозначной для российского фондового рынка: настроение инвесторов менялось на противоположное несколько раз. Если в первые дни этой недели динамику фондовых рынков можно было смело охарактеризовать как ралли (рост на 3,3% за 2 дня), то итоги торгов в среду и четверг оказались гораздо скромнее. После первых двух успешных торговых сессий на фоне эйфории по поводу удачного старта сезона корпоративной отчетности американских компаний в середине недели часть инвесторов предпочли зафиксировать прибыль. Тем более что к закрытию вторника индекс ММВБ близко подобрался к максимальной отметке лета (1406 п.), не дотянув до нее около 30 пунктов. \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n \r\n\u003Cp\u003E \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n \r\n\u003Cp\u003EНекоторому снижению оптимизма на рынке в среду способствовали, в том числе, свежие макростатистические данные: так, индикатор экономических настроений в Еврозоне в июле снизился до 10,7 пунктов вместо 16,3 пунктов, рост промышленного производства Еврозоны (+0,9%) также оказался хуже ожиданий (+1,2%), а розничные продажи в США в июне уменьшились на 0,5%, хотя прогноз экспертов был на уровне 0,2%. Статистика из Китая носила противоречивый характер. С одной стороны, данные по динамике ВВП страны и розничным продажам не оправдали ожиданий инвесторов. С другой, это вполне объяснимо, учитывая официальный курс Поднебесной, нацеленный на охлаждение экономики. Сейчас перед властями КНР стоит непростая задача по сбалансированию роста экономики страны, чтобы не допустить ее перегрева. \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n \r\n\u003Cp\u003E \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n \r\n\u003Cp\u003EОсобого внимания заслуживает протокол последнего заседания комитета ФРС США, а именно обеспокоенность высоким уровнем безработицы и риском снижения инфляции, а также снижение прогнозов по темпам роста экономики США в 2010 году. По мнению ФРС, на полное восстановление американской экономики понадобится еще 5-6 лет. Но поскольку все эти заявления имеют долгосрочный характер, рынок их практически проигнорировал. \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n \r\n\u003Cp\u003E \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n \r\n\u003Cp\u003EНа этой неделе результаты своей деятельности за второй квартал уже успели представить Alcoa, Intel, а также первый из отчитывающихся американских банков JP Morgan.\u003C\/p\u003E\r\n \r\n\u003Cp\u003E \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n \r\n\u003Cp\u003EВ четверг на фоне ожиданий продолжения серии удачных корпоративных отчетов (Google, Bank of America и Citigroup) практически весь день рынок рос. Этому также способствовали новости об удачных размещениях государственных облигаций Португалией и Испанией, а двумя днями ранее \u0026ndash; Грецией. Но одновременно с выходом данных по промышленным ценам в США, которые оказались существенно хуже прогнозных значений, российские индексы пошли вниз. А на открытии американских площадок, также в отрицательной зоне, данная тенденция усилилась и к закрытию торгов индекс ММВБ потерял 1,3%. Впрочем, это не помешало российскому рынку в пятницу вновь перейти на положительную территорию. К 10:45 индекс ММВБ прибавляет 0,6%, а с начала недели \u0026ndash; 1,8%. \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n \r\n\u003Cp\u003E \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n \r\n\u003Cp\u003EДинамика последних дней еще раз напомнила о повышенной турбулентности, царящей нынешним летом на фондовом рынке. Это, с одной стороны, регулярно дает возможность \u0026laquo;прикупить\u0026raquo; по низким ценам, с другой \u0026ndash; заставляет вспомнить о необходимости поэтапного инвестирования.\u003C\/p\u003E\r\n","~DETAIL_TEXT":"\r\n\u003Cp\u003E\u003Cb\u003EКонстантин Кирпичев, начальник отдела паевых инвестиционных фондов УК \u0026laquo;Райффайзен Капитал\u0026raquo;\u003C\/b\u003E \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n \r\n\u003Cp\u003E \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n \r\n\u003Cp\u003EУходящая неделя стала неоднозначной для российского фондового рынка: настроение инвесторов менялось на противоположное несколько раз. Если в первые дни этой недели динамику фондовых рынков можно было смело охарактеризовать как ралли (рост на 3,3% за 2 дня), то итоги торгов в среду и четверг оказались гораздо скромнее. После первых двух успешных торговых сессий на фоне эйфории по поводу удачного старта сезона корпоративной отчетности американских компаний в середине недели часть инвесторов предпочли зафиксировать прибыль. Тем более что к закрытию вторника индекс ММВБ близко подобрался к максимальной отметке лета (1406 п.), не дотянув до нее около 30 пунктов. \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n \r\n\u003Cp\u003E \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n \r\n\u003Cp\u003EНекоторому снижению оптимизма на рынке в среду способствовали, в том числе, свежие макростатистические данные: так, индикатор экономических настроений в Еврозоне в июле снизился до 10,7 пунктов вместо 16,3 пунктов, рост промышленного производства Еврозоны (+0,9%) также оказался хуже ожиданий (+1,2%), а розничные продажи в США в июне уменьшились на 0,5%, хотя прогноз экспертов был на уровне 0,2%. Статистика из Китая носила противоречивый характер. С одной стороны, данные по динамике ВВП страны и розничным продажам не оправдали ожиданий инвесторов. С другой, это вполне объяснимо, учитывая официальный курс Поднебесной, нацеленный на охлаждение экономики. Сейчас перед властями КНР стоит непростая задача по сбалансированию роста экономики страны, чтобы не допустить ее перегрева. \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n \r\n\u003Cp\u003E \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n \r\n\u003Cp\u003EОсобого внимания заслуживает протокол последнего заседания комитета ФРС США, а именно обеспокоенность высоким уровнем безработицы и риском снижения инфляции, а также снижение прогнозов по темпам роста экономики США в 2010 году. По мнению ФРС, на полное восстановление американской экономики понадобится еще 5-6 лет. Но поскольку все эти заявления имеют долгосрочный характер, рынок их практически проигнорировал. \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n \r\n\u003Cp\u003E \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n \r\n\u003Cp\u003EНа этой неделе результаты своей деятельности за второй квартал уже успели представить Alcoa, Intel, а также первый из отчитывающихся американских банков JP Morgan.\u003C\/p\u003E\r\n \r\n\u003Cp\u003E \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n \r\n\u003Cp\u003EВ четверг на фоне ожиданий продолжения серии удачных корпоративных отчетов (Google, Bank of America и Citigroup) практически весь день рынок рос. Этому также способствовали новости об удачных размещениях государственных облигаций Португалией и Испанией, а двумя днями ранее \u0026ndash; Грецией. Но одновременно с выходом данных по промышленным ценам в США, которые оказались существенно хуже прогнозных значений, российские индексы пошли вниз. А на открытии американских площадок, также в отрицательной зоне, данная тенденция усилилась и к закрытию торгов индекс ММВБ потерял 1,3%. Впрочем, это не помешало российскому рынку в пятницу вновь перейти на положительную территорию. К 10:45 индекс ММВБ прибавляет 0,6%, а с начала недели \u0026ndash; 1,8%. \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n \r\n\u003Cp\u003E \u003C\/p\u003E\r\n \r\n\u003Cp\u003EДинамика последних дней еще раз напомнила о повышенной турбулентности, царящей нынешним летом на фондовом рынке. 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