Прогнозы аналитиков: Что скажет Д. Медведев на экономическом форуме сегодня?

{"ID":"389602","~ID":"389602","TAGS":"","~TAGS":"","NAME":"Прогнозы аналитиков: Что скажет Д. Медведев на экономическом форуме сегодня?","~NAME":"Прогнозы аналитиков: Что скажет Д. Медведев на экономическом форуме сегодня?","IBLOCK_ID":"54","~IBLOCK_ID":"54","IBLOCK_SECTION_ID":"4067","~IBLOCK_SECTION_ID":"4067","DETAIL_TEXT":"\r\n\u003Cdiv align=\u0022justify\u0022\u003E\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EСегодня для российского фондового рынка сформировался довольно нейтральный внешний фон. Торговая сессия в Соединенных Штатах завершилась в небольшом плюсе. Так, индекс Dow-Jones вырос на 0,2%, S\u0026amp;P - на 0,1%, Nasdaq - на 0,5%.\u003C\/span\u003E\r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EМежду тем, некоторое напряжение сейчас наблюдается на азиатских площадках, в эти минуты отдельные индексы там показывают минус: корейский KOSPI падает на 0,009%, а японский NIKKEI пока тоже снижается символически, на 0,09%. Однако в то же время, в плюсе сейчас пребывают индикаторы Бразилии и Гонконга.\u003C\/span\u003E\r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EТакой размытый фон обусловлен, скорее всего, разнохарактерными экономическими факторами. С одной стороны, разочаровали вчера инвесторов экономические данные из США, прежде всего, речь идет о показателях по рынку труда и индексе деловой активности от ФРБ Филадельфии - в июне он опустился до 8 пунктов с предыдущих 21,4, показав слабость экономической конъюнктуры.\u003C\/span\u003E\r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EС другой стороны, цена на нефть все еще держится на хороших позициях: августовские фьючерсы на нефть марки Brent торгуются по цене $78,6 за баррель, на нефть марки Light \u0026ndash; $77,7 за баррель. Обращает на себя внимание и устойчивость евро против американского доллара, сейчас пара торгуется на уровне 1,234. Эксперты объясняют такую стабильность хорошими результатами аукциона испанских облигаций, которые показали, что инвесторы готовы приобретать европейские активы.\u003C\/span\u003E\r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EЧто же касается вчерашнего дня на российском рынке, то прошел он весьма пасмурно.\u003C\/span\u003E\r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EВ лидерах роста в четверг оказались несколько представителей энергетического сектора: ТГК-13 (+4,43%), ОГК-3 (+4%), ТГК-1 (+2,97%). Вторую сессию подряд в хорошеи плюсе финишировали акции \u0026quot;Сбербанка\u0026quot; (+2,33%). Привлекательно выглядели и производители удобрений: \u0026quot;Акрон\u0026quot; прибавил 2,03%, \u0026quot;Уралкалий\u0026quot; - 1,41%.\u003C\/span\u003E\r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EВ то же время, серьезные тучи сгущались над \u0026quot;нефтянкой\u0026quot;, где главным пострадавшим стала \u0026quot;Роснефть\u0026quot;. Бумаги компании вчера обвалились более чем на 5% под закрытие. Аналитики связали такое поведение бумаг со слухами о возможной продаже пакета ВР, а также отмене нулевой пошлины.\u003C\/span\u003E\r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EОднако сегодня появились и другие новости о компании - \u0026quot;...в СМИ появилось сообщение, что Credit Suisse по поручению BP уже продал через Лондонскую биржу акции Роснефти на $500 млн. Есть шанс, что в ближайшее время рынок частично восстановит позиции акций нашей нефтяной компании\u0026quot;, - сообщает Александр Потавин, руководитель аналитической службы \u0026quot;Ай Ти Инвест - Проспект\u0026quot;.\u003C\/span\u003E\r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EСегодня в календаре статистики не отмечено как существенных данных по макроэкономике, поэтому, аналитики настроены на скучную торговую сессию.\u003C\/span\u003E\r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003E\u0026quot;Лишь вечером, с открытия торгов в США мы ожидаем, усиления волатильности, поскольку сегодня на заокеанских биржах будет день экспирации фьючерсов и опционов, а значит, возможны сюрпризы\u0026quot;, - отмечает Александр Потавин.\u003C\/span\u003E\r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EДругие же эксперты, напротив, обещают, что день будет интересен, учитывая выступление Дмитрия Медведева на международном экономическом форуме в Санкт-Петербурге. \u0026ndash; \u0026quot;С этим выступлением у западных инвесторов связаны большие ожидания\u0026quot;, - подчеркивает Андрей Верников, заместитель генерального директора по инвестиционному анализу ИК \u0026quot;Церих Кэпитал Менеджмент\u0026quot;.\u003C\/span\u003E\r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003E\u0026quot;Мы ожидаем, что до конца июля индекс ММВБ протестирует отметку 1400 пунктов, но дальнейший рост под большим вопросом. У \u0026quot;быков\u0026quot; есть желание загнать индекс ММВБ на отметку 1440, а индекс РТС в диапазон 1475-1500, но для роста одного желания мало: нужна непрерывная подпитка рынка хорошими новостями. Пока подпитки нет, индекс ММВБ неминуемо споткнется об уровень сопротивления 1415 пунктов (по FIBO 61,8% от последнего падения)\u0026quot;, - прогнозирует эксперт.\u003C\/span\u003E\r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EПока же российский рынок открывается в плюсе, индекс РТС прибавляет 0,2%, а индекс RTS Standard находится на уровне 9332.53 пункта (+0,12%). На срочном рынке FORTS сентябрьский фьючерс на индекс РТС за первые 10 минут прибавил относительно закрытия дневной сессии четверга 0,33% до значения 139600 пунктов, в то время как фьючерс на индекс RTS Standard поднялся на 0,2% к итогам дневной сессии четверга и составляет 9321 пункта. \u003C\/span\u003E\u003C\/div\u003E\r\n","~DETAIL_TEXT":"\r\n\u003Cdiv align=\u0022justify\u0022\u003E\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EСегодня для российского фондового рынка сформировался довольно нейтральный внешний фон. Торговая сессия в Соединенных Штатах завершилась в небольшом плюсе. Так, индекс Dow-Jones вырос на 0,2%, S\u0026amp;P - на 0,1%, Nasdaq - на 0,5%.\u003C\/span\u003E\r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EМежду тем, некоторое напряжение сейчас наблюдается на азиатских площадках, в эти минуты отдельные индексы там показывают минус: корейский KOSPI падает на 0,009%, а японский NIKKEI пока тоже снижается символически, на 0,09%. Однако в то же время, в плюсе сейчас пребывают индикаторы Бразилии и Гонконга.\u003C\/span\u003E\r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EТакой размытый фон обусловлен, скорее всего, разнохарактерными экономическими факторами. С одной стороны, разочаровали вчера инвесторов экономические данные из США, прежде всего, речь идет о показателях по рынку труда и индексе деловой активности от ФРБ Филадельфии - в июне он опустился до 8 пунктов с предыдущих 21,4, показав слабость экономической конъюнктуры.\u003C\/span\u003E\r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EС другой стороны, цена на нефть все еще держится на хороших позициях: августовские фьючерсы на нефть марки Brent торгуются по цене $78,6 за баррель, на нефть марки Light \u0026ndash; $77,7 за баррель. Обращает на себя внимание и устойчивость евро против американского доллара, сейчас пара торгуется на уровне 1,234. Эксперты объясняют такую стабильность хорошими результатами аукциона испанских облигаций, которые показали, что инвесторы готовы приобретать европейские активы.\u003C\/span\u003E\r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EЧто же касается вчерашнего дня на российском рынке, то прошел он весьма пасмурно.\u003C\/span\u003E\r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EВ лидерах роста в четверг оказались несколько представителей энергетического сектора: ТГК-13 (+4,43%), ОГК-3 (+4%), ТГК-1 (+2,97%). Вторую сессию подряд в хорошеи плюсе финишировали акции \u0026quot;Сбербанка\u0026quot; (+2,33%). Привлекательно выглядели и производители удобрений: \u0026quot;Акрон\u0026quot; прибавил 2,03%, \u0026quot;Уралкалий\u0026quot; - 1,41%.\u003C\/span\u003E\r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EВ то же время, серьезные тучи сгущались над \u0026quot;нефтянкой\u0026quot;, где главным пострадавшим стала \u0026quot;Роснефть\u0026quot;. Бумаги компании вчера обвалились более чем на 5% под закрытие. Аналитики связали такое поведение бумаг со слухами о возможной продаже пакета ВР, а также отмене нулевой пошлины.\u003C\/span\u003E\r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EОднако сегодня появились и другие новости о компании - \u0026quot;...в СМИ появилось сообщение, что Credit Suisse по поручению BP уже продал через Лондонскую биржу акции Роснефти на $500 млн. Есть шанс, что в ближайшее время рынок частично восстановит позиции акций нашей нефтяной компании\u0026quot;, - сообщает Александр Потавин, руководитель аналитической службы \u0026quot;Ай Ти Инвест - Проспект\u0026quot;.\u003C\/span\u003E\r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EСегодня в календаре статистики не отмечено как существенных данных по макроэкономике, поэтому, аналитики настроены на скучную торговую сессию.\u003C\/span\u003E\r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003E\u0026quot;Лишь вечером, с открытия торгов в США мы ожидаем, усиления волатильности, поскольку сегодня на заокеанских биржах будет день экспирации фьючерсов и опционов, а значит, возможны сюрпризы\u0026quot;, - отмечает Александр Потавин.\u003C\/span\u003E\r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EДругие же эксперты, напротив, обещают, что день будет интересен, учитывая выступление Дмитрия Медведева на международном экономическом форуме в Санкт-Петербурге. \u0026ndash; \u0026quot;С этим выступлением у западных инвесторов связаны большие ожидания\u0026quot;, - подчеркивает Андрей Верников, заместитель генерального директора по инвестиционному анализу ИК \u0026quot;Церих Кэпитал Менеджмент\u0026quot;.\u003C\/span\u003E\r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003E\u0026quot;Мы ожидаем, что до конца июля индекс ММВБ протестирует отметку 1400 пунктов, но дальнейший рост под большим вопросом. У \u0026quot;быков\u0026quot; есть желание загнать индекс ММВБ на отметку 1440, а индекс РТС в диапазон 1475-1500, но для роста одного желания мало: нужна непрерывная подпитка рынка хорошими новостями. Пока подпитки нет, индекс ММВБ неминуемо споткнется об уровень сопротивления 1415 пунктов (по FIBO 61,8% от последнего падения)\u0026quot;, - прогнозирует эксперт.\u003C\/span\u003E\r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EПока же российский рынок открывается в плюсе, индекс РТС прибавляет 0,2%, а индекс RTS Standard находится на уровне 9332.53 пункта (+0,12%). На срочном рынке FORTS сентябрьский фьючерс на индекс РТС за первые 10 минут прибавил относительно закрытия дневной сессии четверга 0,33% до значения 139600 пунктов, в то время как фьючерс на индекс RTS Standard поднялся на 0,2% к итогам дневной сессии четверга и составляет 9321 пункта. \u003C\/span\u003E\u003C\/div\u003E\r\n","DETAIL_TEXT_TYPE":"html","~DETAIL_TEXT_TYPE":"html","PREVIEW_TEXT":"","~PREVIEW_TEXT":"","PREVIEW_TEXT_TYPE":"text","~PREVIEW_TEXT_TYPE":"text","DETAIL_PICTURE":{"ID":"177083","TIMESTAMP_X":"29.01.2015 17:55:07","MODULE_ID":"iblock","HEIGHT":"162","WIDTH":"200","FILE_SIZE":"2635","CONTENT_TYPE":"image\/jpeg","SUBDIR":"iblock\/790","FILE_NAME":"33.jpg","ORIGINAL_NAME":"33.jpg","DESCRIPTION":"","HANDLER_ID":null,"EXTERNAL_ID":null,"VERSION_ORIGINAL_ID":null,"META":"","SRC":"\/upload\/iblock\/790\/33.jpg"},"~DETAIL_PICTURE":"177083","ACTIVE_FROM_X":"2010-06-18 09:40:56","~ACTIVE_FROM_X":"2010-06-18 09:40:56","ACTIVE_FROM":"18.06.2010 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