Игорь Юргенс: Программа «перестаньте кошмарить бизнес» провалилась

{"ID":"384625","~ID":"384625","TAGS":"игорь юргенс, РСПП, прогноз","~TAGS":"игорь юргенс, РСПП, прогноз","NAME":"Игорь Юргенс: Программа «перестаньте кошмарить бизнес» провалилась","~NAME":"Игорь Юргенс: Программа «перестаньте кошмарить бизнес» провалилась","IBLOCK_ID":"54","~IBLOCK_ID":"54","IBLOCK_SECTION_ID":"829","~IBLOCK_SECTION_ID":"829","DETAIL_TEXT":"\r\n\u003Cdiv align=\u0022justify\u0022\u003E\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EВице-президент РСПП Игорь Юргенс в своем выступлении о перспективах российской экономики на заседании \u0026laquo;Делового клуба на Тверской\u0026raquo;, сообщает деловой портал \u003Ca href=\u0022http:\/\/slon.ru\/articles\/364719\/\u0022\u003ESlon.ru\u003C\/a\u003E, ответил на вопросы:\u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cb\u003E\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EО макроэкономических прогнозах \u003C\/span\u003E\u003C\/b\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EКризисную стадию мы прошли с хорошей оценкой для тех, кто отвечал за антикризисные программы. Теперь речь о стратегическом развитии. В среднесрочном и краткосрочном плане не вижу особых проблем. Надуются ряд локальных пузырей, опять в недвижимости, в ряде других активов, но надеюсь, что мы сделали выводы из этого кризиса. \u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EДолгосрочное развитие мира, регулирования, системы контроля над институциональными инвесторами, жадность инвестбанкиров \u0026ndash; это вопрос, который я вывожу за скобки. На него нет ответа ни на уровне G20, ни в G8. \u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cb\u003E\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EО ставке рефинансирования \u003C\/span\u003E\u003C\/b\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EЯ считаю, что этот вопрос не актуален для нас. Если в стабильных экономиках от действия монетарных властей очень много зависит, у нас финансовая система не так сильно развита, другие отношения складываются. Многое зависит от доверия. Не думаю, что ставка рефинансирования на многое влияет, хотя ее снижение для банков важно как психологический фактор. Сейчас люди поверили в финансовую систему, деятельность правительства, они несут деньги в банки. Сильно манипулировать со ставками я не вижу оснований. \u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cb\u003E\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EО реструктуризации экономики \u003C\/span\u003E\u003C\/b\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EВ чем-то мы воспроизводим предкризисную модель. Основные поступления в бюджет идут от тех же секторов промышленности. Было принято решение сдерживать социальные проблемы, предприятия всячески призывали и поощряли, чтобы те не сокращали рабочую силу, даже если она неэффективна. Кризис показывает, что сложились неправильные пропорции, которые нужно корректировать. Но чтобы избежать массовых \u0026laquo;пикалевых\u0026raquo;, дали другую команду. \u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EХотя правительство до конца не определилось, что важнее: ускорение подъема или социальная стабильность. \u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EПрограмма \u0026laquo;перестаньте кошмарить бизнес\u0026raquo; провалилась. Это риск, это большая пахота. Много людей предпочитают работать врачами, учеными, госслужащими, не рискуя всем ради эфемерной истории успеха. Международная организация труда имеет специальные программы по развитию предпринимательского духа. У нас ничего такого не происходит. \u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cb\u003E\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EО докладе \u0026laquo;Института современного развития\u0026raquo; о развитии экономики к 2012 г.: \u003C\/span\u003E\u003C\/b\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EМы понимаем, что при нынешнем дефиците пенсионного фонда долго так продержаться не сможем. В СССР 10 работающих кормили одного пенсионера, сейчас 6 работающих кормят четверых. А потом иждивенцев будет еще больше. Наш вариант \u0026ndash; смотреть на зарубежный опыт и делать реальную реформу по типу чилийской. Пока звучит ответ, что это невозможно, принимаются меры консервативного характера. \u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EКачество жизни складывается из многих показателей. В среднем, по стране оно сейчас ниже, чем на пике развития СССР. Особенно с учетом продолжительности жизни мужчин. Реформа образования, здравоохранения, страхования \u0026ndash; все эти реформы просто необходимы. Но при этом надо не забывать про модернизацию экономики. Иначе во время следующего кризиса мы еще сильнее упадем. \u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EВсе поручения президента по ускорению, выделению средств выполнены. Но есть впечатление, что дело идет медленно и консервативно. Если пресса думает, что модернизация идет плохо, значит, так оно и идет. Скорее права пресса, чем бюрократы, которые отчитываются о выполнении по темпам. \u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cb\u003E\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EОб иностранных инвестициях \u003C\/span\u003E\u003C\/b\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EСейчас происходит отток. Минфин предсказывает, что к концу года ситуация будет сбалансированной. Прямые иностранные инвестиции, если мы точно поймем конъюнктуру, сформируем отношение к стратегическим отраслям \u0026ndash; да, это реально. Вложение в нефть, газ, телекомы, металлургию \u0026ndash; это будет интересно ведущим менеджерам в мире. \u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EРоссия должна вступать в ВТО. Во многом мяч на стороне США. Вступить до конца года было бы очень хорошо. Если не сейчас, то впоследствии это больно нам аукнется. Что касается Таможенного союза, там много такого, что надо еще регулировать. Но вступление в ВТО \u0026ndash; это не помеха. Можно принять решение, что Россия вступает первая, а потом подтягиваются Казахстан и Белоруссия.\u003C\/span\u003E\u003C\/div\u003E\r\n ","~DETAIL_TEXT":"\r\n\u003Cdiv align=\u0022justify\u0022\u003E\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EВице-президент РСПП Игорь Юргенс в своем выступлении о перспективах российской экономики на заседании \u0026laquo;Делового клуба на Тверской\u0026raquo;, сообщает деловой портал \u003Ca href=\u0022http:\/\/slon.ru\/articles\/364719\/\u0022\u003ESlon.ru\u003C\/a\u003E, ответил на вопросы:\u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cb\u003E\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EО макроэкономических прогнозах \u003C\/span\u003E\u003C\/b\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EКризисную стадию мы прошли с хорошей оценкой для тех, кто отвечал за антикризисные программы. Теперь речь о стратегическом развитии. В среднесрочном и краткосрочном плане не вижу особых проблем. Надуются ряд локальных пузырей, опять в недвижимости, в ряде других активов, но надеюсь, что мы сделали выводы из этого кризиса. \u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EДолгосрочное развитие мира, регулирования, системы контроля над институциональными инвесторами, жадность инвестбанкиров \u0026ndash; это вопрос, который я вывожу за скобки. На него нет ответа ни на уровне G20, ни в G8. \u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cb\u003E\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EО ставке рефинансирования \u003C\/span\u003E\u003C\/b\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EЯ считаю, что этот вопрос не актуален для нас. Если в стабильных экономиках от действия монетарных властей очень много зависит, у нас финансовая система не так сильно развита, другие отношения складываются. Многое зависит от доверия. Не думаю, что ставка рефинансирования на многое влияет, хотя ее снижение для банков важно как психологический фактор. Сейчас люди поверили в финансовую систему, деятельность правительства, они несут деньги в банки. Сильно манипулировать со ставками я не вижу оснований. \u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cb\u003E\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EО реструктуризации экономики \u003C\/span\u003E\u003C\/b\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EВ чем-то мы воспроизводим предкризисную модель. Основные поступления в бюджет идут от тех же секторов промышленности. Было принято решение сдерживать социальные проблемы, предприятия всячески призывали и поощряли, чтобы те не сокращали рабочую силу, даже если она неэффективна. Кризис показывает, что сложились неправильные пропорции, которые нужно корректировать. Но чтобы избежать массовых \u0026laquo;пикалевых\u0026raquo;, дали другую команду. \u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EХотя правительство до конца не определилось, что важнее: ускорение подъема или социальная стабильность. \u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EПрограмма \u0026laquo;перестаньте кошмарить бизнес\u0026raquo; провалилась. Это риск, это большая пахота. Много людей предпочитают работать врачами, учеными, госслужащими, не рискуя всем ради эфемерной истории успеха. Международная организация труда имеет специальные программы по развитию предпринимательского духа. У нас ничего такого не происходит. \u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cb\u003E\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EО докладе \u0026laquo;Института современного развития\u0026raquo; о развитии экономики к 2012 г.: \u003C\/span\u003E\u003C\/b\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EМы понимаем, что при нынешнем дефиците пенсионного фонда долго так продержаться не сможем. В СССР 10 работающих кормили одного пенсионера, сейчас 6 работающих кормят четверых. А потом иждивенцев будет еще больше. Наш вариант \u0026ndash; смотреть на зарубежный опыт и делать реальную реформу по типу чилийской. Пока звучит ответ, что это невозможно, принимаются меры консервативного характера. \u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EКачество жизни складывается из многих показателей. В среднем, по стране оно сейчас ниже, чем на пике развития СССР. Особенно с учетом продолжительности жизни мужчин. Реформа образования, здравоохранения, страхования \u0026ndash; все эти реформы просто необходимы. Но при этом надо не забывать про модернизацию экономики. Иначе во время следующего кризиса мы еще сильнее упадем. \u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EВсе поручения президента по ускорению, выделению средств выполнены. Но есть впечатление, что дело идет медленно и консервативно. Если пресса думает, что модернизация идет плохо, значит, так оно и идет. Скорее права пресса, чем бюрократы, которые отчитываются о выполнении по темпам. \u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cb\u003E\u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EОб иностранных инвестициях \u003C\/span\u003E\u003C\/b\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003E\u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EСейчас происходит отток. Минфин предсказывает, что к концу года ситуация будет сбалансированной. Прямые иностранные инвестиции, если мы точно поймем конъюнктуру, сформируем отношение к стратегическим отраслям \u0026ndash; да, это реально. Вложение в нефть, газ, телекомы, металлургию \u0026ndash; это будет интересно ведущим менеджерам в мире. \u003C\/span\u003E \r\n  \u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n \u003Cspan class=\u0022kobl-text-content\u0022\u003EРоссия должна вступать в ВТО. Во многом мяч на стороне США. Вступить до конца года было бы очень хорошо. Если не сейчас, то впоследствии это больно нам аукнется. Что касается Таможенного союза, там много такого, что надо еще регулировать. Но вступление в ВТО \u0026ndash; это не помеха. Можно принять решение, что Россия вступает первая, а потом подтягиваются Казахстан и Белоруссия.\u003C\/span\u003E\u003C\/div\u003E\r\n ","DETAIL_TEXT_TYPE":"html","~DETAIL_TEXT_TYPE":"html","PREVIEW_TEXT":"Вице-президент РСПП на заседании «Делового клуба на Тверской» рассказал о своем видении перспектив российской экономики.","~PREVIEW_TEXT":"Вице-президент РСПП на заседании «Делового клуба на Тверской» рассказал о своем видении перспектив российской экономики.","PREVIEW_TEXT_TYPE":"text","~PREVIEW_TEXT_TYPE":"text","DETAIL_PICTURE":{"ID":"174039","TIMESTAMP_X":"29.01.2015 17:24:27","MODULE_ID":"iblock","HEIGHT":"183","WIDTH":"200","FILE_SIZE":"9089","CONTENT_TYPE":"image\/jpeg","SUBDIR":"iblock\/912","FILE_NAME":"yphoto_0.jpg","ORIGINAL_NAME":"yphoto_0.jpg","DESCRIPTION":"","HANDLER_ID":null,"EXTERNAL_ID":null,"VERSION_ORIGINAL_ID":null,"META":"","SRC":"\/upload\/iblock\/912\/yphoto_0.jpg"},"~DETAIL_PICTURE":"174039","ACTIVE_FROM_X":"2010-04-28 08:59:00","~ACTIVE_FROM_X":"2010-04-28 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